COVID-19 weekly monitoring report


Current COVID-19 Figures

East Sussex weekly COVID-19 update

Week up to 14 October 2021

The COVID-19 Weekly Update collates published national data to describe COVID-19 cases in East Sussex, how they change over time, and how this compares to other areas.

This report covers East Sussex and the District and Borough areas.

Confirmed cases

Weekly rates in East Sussex have slightly increased from 211 to 220 cases per 100,000. Actual case numbers have increased from 1,174 to 1,227 cases in the most recent week of data.

Figure 1 shows cases since the start of the pandemic. The first wave during springtime 2020 when universal testing was not available appears dwarfed by the subsequent wave experienced over the winter months when everyone with symptoms was able to be tested. When looking at that winter peak it is helpful to note that the data does not show a smooth upwards trajectory. There are several points at which we could have assumed that rates were declining only to then suffer a sharp and unexpected increase. The steady decline of the winter wave occurred during a period of lockdown.

The latest wave is more unpredictable and remains high when compared to this time last year.

Figure 1 - Daily confirmed cases by the date the test was taken up to 12 October 2021 (figures in grey still subject to change). The line represents the 7-day rolling average.

Fig 1 East Sussex Daily Confirmed Cases By Date

Source: Cases in East Sussex | Coronavirus in the UK (data.gov.uk)


Figure 2a and 2b help to show trends in the population. There is little difference in the male to female ratio of cases. The difference in the age range is stark with the highest rates in people aged 10-19 years old.

Figure 2b shows increases in all school age bands between ages 5 and 19 years old. There has been a sustained increase in the 15 – 19 age band although weekly rates are still a good level below the weekly rates for those aged 10 – 14 years.

Figure 2a - East Sussex confirmed cases by age and sex - in the last 14 days

Fig 2A East Sussex Confirmed Cases By Age And Sex

Figure 2b: The 7-day rolling average cases per 100,000 of all confirmed cases up to 05 October 2021 by age band for children and young people in East Sussex.

Fig 2B 7 Day Rolling Rates 100000 Children And Young People In East Sussex

Source: Cases in the UK | Coronavirus in the UK (data.gov.uk)


How East Sussex compares

Table 1 shows the latest weekly data and how East Sussex, and the five district and borough areas compare against each other and against the South East and England.

Across England, the South East and East Sussex weekly rates per 100,000 have slightly increased – for England from 339 to 359, the South East from 308 to 336 and for East Sussex from 211 to 220 per 100,000.

Actual case numbers in East Sussex have increased from 1,174 to 1,227.

Weekly rates in East Sussex are low compared to other Upper Tier Authorities. East Sussex sits continues to edge up the rankings and sits at 123 of 149 Upper Tier Authorities. All Upper Tier and Lower Tier Authorities are ranked with 1 being the Authority with the highest weekly rate of confirmed cases.

Table 1 - Confirmed cases between 30 September and 7 October 2021, as 13 October 2021
Region Cases Rate per 100,000 LA rank * % change from previous week
England 201,974 359 NA 6%
South East 31,010 336 NA 9%
East Sussex 1,227 220 123 4%
Eastbourne 231 223 273 19%
Hastings 187 202 281 21%
Lewes 198 192 289 8%
Rother 182 189 291 1%
Wealden 429 266 247 -7%

*There are 149 Upper Tier and 315 Lower Tier Authorities. 1 denotes the highest rate.
Source: Daily summary | Coronavirus in the UK (data.gov.uk)

Figure 3a shows the series of peaks and troughs during summer 2021. East Sussex has broadly followed the pattern for England. The obvious exception to this was during August 2021 - Eastbourne rose slightly above the England average in early August but was overtaken by Hastings which escalated well above the England average until early September. More recently Wealden has moved above the average in East Sussex and closer to the England average.

Figure 3b shows the early days of the pandemic to the current date. December 2020 / January 2021 period saw the biggest peak seen in East Sussex. Hastings was the first to suffer a sharp rise followed by a smaller but noticeable rise in Lewes and eventually a sharp rise in Eastbourne. It was a period of rapid escalation. Infection rates started to drop following government guidance for smaller gatherings at Christmas and a period of lockdown. The lockdown was gradually eased from 8 March. The final stage of eased restrictions was put back from 21 June to 19 July because of the continued escalation of rates of infection. Since July we have seen a rise and fall of rates as we learn to live with the virus.

Figure 3a and 3b - The 7-day rolling average cases per 100,000 of all confirmed cases up to 11 October 2021 in East Sussex by lower tier local authority. The grey section shows incomplete data which is liable to change.

Fig 3A Zoom Of 7 Day Rolling Rates Per 100000 Population All Ages
Figure 3a (from July 2021)
Fig 3B 7 Day Rolling Rates Per 100000 Population All Ages
Figure 3b (from March 2020)

Figure 4 shows the national picture. There is an increased number purple and dark blue patches which means that rates have continued to escalate across the country.

Figure 4 - The 7-day rate of new confirmed cases per 100,000 people for 7–day period ending 7 October 2021

Fig 4 Map Case Rate

Source: Interactive map of cases | Coronavirus in the UK (data.gov.uk)


District and Borough confirmed cases

The scale for each chart is different, it is important to read the accompanying text for each District and Borough.

The charts contain published data (blue) and unpublished data (grey).  Unpublished data is incomplete, and more test results may be added, so this information should be viewed cautiously until it is complete.

Eastbourne Borough: Hastings Borough: Lewes District: Rother District: Wealden District


Eastbourne Borough

Cases in Eastbourne have increased from 194 to 231 new cases in the most recent week of data.

Figure 5 shows the longer-term look at cases since the start of the pandemic. Eastbourne had a higher number of cases during the first wave than other parts of the county. Early Autumn saw a rise in cases and a fall at the end of November. From the second week of December cases in Eastbourne increased at the steepest rate seen during the pandemic. Cases have increased since the easing of government restrictions in July 2021 and now fluctuate at a higher level than during Spring 2021.

Figure 5 - Eastbourne confirmed cases by specimen date 12 October 2021

Eastbourne District Cases

Source: Cases in Eastbourne | Coronavirus in the UK)

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Hastings Borough

Cases in Hastings have increased from 154 to 187 new cases in the most recent week of data.

Figure 6 shows the longer-term look at cases since the start of the pandemic. In the early months of the pandemic Hastings experienced the fewest cases in East Sussex and one of the lowest rates of total confirmed cases in the country. Through June to August 2020 there were only sporadic cases. From the middle of September cases increased with a rise and fall in November leading to an exponential rise throughout December. In contrast to the first wave Hastings was affected much more by this second wave. Cases have increased since the easing of government restrictions in July 2021. Hastings rose well above the England average from mid-August but by early September rates started to decline until it fell in line with other District and Borough areas and below the England average.

Figure 6 - Hastings confirmed cases by specimen date to 12 October 2021

Hastings District Cases

Source: Cases in Hastings | Coronavirus in the UK (data.gov.uk)

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Lewes District

Cases in Lewes have slightly increased from 184 to 198 new cases in the most recent week of data.

Figure 7 shows the longer-term look at cases since the start of the pandemic. Cases were low during the summer months with an increasing trend from the end of September and throughout October. A relatively stable rate of cases throughout November initially decreased before a dramatic increase throughout December which was followed by a peak in early January. Lewes experienced higher numbers than other areas of East Sussex during the first wave of the pandemic. Cases have increased since the easing of government restrictions in July 2021 and now fluctuate at a higher level than during Spring 2021.

Figure 7- Lewes confirmed cases by specimen date to 12 October 2021

Lewes District Cases

Source: Cases in Lewes| Coronavirus in the UK)

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Rother District

Cases in Rother have remained broadly static at 182 new cases in the most recent week of data.

Figure 8 shows the longer-term look at cases since the start of the pandemic. Rother experienced lower numbers of cases relative to most parts of East Sussex in wave one. Rother had low cases throughout June, July and August. Cases increased slightly throughout October with a greater increase in November. Numbers rose sharply in December, with two peaks either side of Christmas. Cases have increased since the easing of restrictions in July 2021 and fluctuate at a higher level than during the Spring 2021 period.

Figure 8 - Rother confirmed cases by specimen date to 12 October 2021

Rother District Cases

Source: Cases in Rother | Coronavirus in the UK (data.gov.uk)

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Wealden District

Cases in Wealden have decreased from 461 to 429 new cases in the most recent week of data.

Figure 9 shows the longer-term look at cases since the start of the pandemic. Wealden experienced a steady increase throughout October and November, before increasing much more sharply from the second week of December and continuing to increase with peaks either side of Christmas. Cases have increased since the easing of restrictions in July 2021 and now fluctuate at a higher level than during Spring 2020.

Figure 9 - Wealden confirmed cases by specimen date to 12 October 2021

Wealden District Cases

Source: Cases in Wealden | Coronavirus in the UK (data.gov.uk)

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